Policy Research

Affordable care act

In Preliminary Rate Filings, ACA Marketplace Insurers Largely Propose Double-Digit Premium Increase For 2027, Following Steep Climb  

ACA Marketplace insurers are proposing a median premium increase of 14% for 2027— indicating a likely second consecutive year of double-digit increases, according to a new analysis of preliminary rate filings in 16 states and DC. If these increases hold, typical premiums for insurers participating in the ACA Marketplaces would jump by more than one-third between 2025 and 2027.

An image of text is an excerpt from Cynthia Cox's quick take which reads, "While the Trump administration attributes this drop in enrollment to their attempts to address fraud, this coverage loss happened at the same time millions of people faced steep increases in their premium payments — often in the double or even triple digits — with the expiration of enhanced tax credits."

ACA Marketplace Enrollment Is Down By 3 Million After Big Jump in Premium Payments

Enrollment dropped 13% following the expiration of enhanced premium tax credits at the beginning of this year. Enrollment fell from a high of 22.1 million people in 2025 to 19.2 million people in February 2026. While the Trump administration attributes this drop in enrollment to their attempts to address fraud, this coverage loss happened at the same time millions of people faced steep increases in their premium payments – often in the double or even triple digits – with the expiration of enhanced tax credits.

medicaid

An image of text is an excerpt from Jennifer Tolbert's quick take which reads, "While a temporary period of allowing people to self-attest to their compliance with work requirements will ease the effects for some, the more restrictive definition of medical frailty adopted by the Trump Administration will be challenging for states to implement and could lead to more people falling through the cracks and losing coverage."

CMS Requires More Restrictive Definition of Medical Frailty in New Medicaid Work Requirements Rule

On June 1, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services issued an interim final rule on Medicaid work requirements that adopts a restrictive definition of medical frailty — differing from states’ early expectations. KFF’s Jennifer Tolbert explains why the more restrictive definition of medical frailty adopted by the Trump Administration will be challenging for states to implement and could lead to more people falling through the cracks and losing coverage.

State Policy Decisions on Work Requirements Implementation

KFF’s interactive Medicaid work requirements tracker includes new county-level unemployment data by state, showing which counties meet the high unemployment thresholds and how many expansion enrollees in those counties may be exempt from work requirements.

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